Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Calvin Kattar
Giga Chikadze
66%
34%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
34
Age
Δ 0y
33
23-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
16-6
L1
Current streak
W7
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Kattar: 144 sig / 2 TD ·
Chikadze: 128 sig / 0 TD
Calvin Kattar
Giga Chikadze
69
Sig strikes landed
67
150
Sig strikes attempted
156
67
Total strikes landed
57
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
47s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Calvin Kattar
23-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
Blue corner
W7
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—