Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Darian Weeks
59%
41%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
L1
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barberena: 108 sig / 0 TD ·
Weeks: 118 sig / 4 TD
Bryan Barberena
Darian Weeks
73
Sig strikes landed
50
144
Sig strikes attempted
103
85
Total strikes landed
52
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
Blue corner
Darian Weeks
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28