Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Alonzo Menifield vs William Knight
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alonzo Menifield
William Knight
71%
29%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
19-6-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-5
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Menifield: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Knight: 55 sig / 1 TD
Alonzo Menifield
William Knight
25
Sig strikes landed
20
43
Sig strikes attempted
41
41
Total strikes landed
34
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
159s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
William Knight
"Knightmare"
12-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—