Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Taila Santos
26%
74%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
17-9
Career record
Δ 22 pp
20-3
L1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wood: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Santos: 30 sig / 0 TD
Joanne Wood
Taila Santos
55
Sig strikes landed
60
105
Sig strikes attempted
134
75
Total strikes landed
92
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
240s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
Blue corner
W3
Taila Santos
20-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—