Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ketlen Vieira
Miesha Tate
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
16-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
21-10
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Vieira: 113 sig / 0 TD ·
Tate: 122 sig / 1 TD
Ketlen Vieira
Miesha Tate
44
Sig strikes landed
42
99
Sig strikes attempted
87
85
Total strikes landed
81
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
227s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
16-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
21-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—