Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jonny Parsons
Solomon Renfro
46%
54%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Parsons: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Renfro: 78 sig / 2 TD
Jonny Parsons
Solomon Renfro
35
Sig strikes landed
36
74
Sig strikes attempted
79
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jonny Parsons
"The Sluggernaut"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Solomon Renfro
"The Black Dragon"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
25