Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Gillian Robertson vs Priscila Cachoeira
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Priscila Cachoeira
74%
26%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
27
Age
Δ 7y
33
17-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-8
L2
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Robertson: 32 sig / 1 TD ·
Cachoeira: 20 sig / 0 TD
Gillian Robertson
Priscila Cachoeira
35
Sig strikes landed
31
76
Sig strikes attempted
72
65
Total strikes landed
57
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.0
4.2
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
261s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
17-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
W2
Priscila Cachoeira
"Zombie Girl"
14-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—