Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Livinha Souza vs Randa Markos
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Livinha Souza
Randa Markos
84%
16%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
31
Age
Δ 6y
36
14-5
Career record
Δ 30 pp
11-13-1
L1
Current streak
L4
5
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Souza: 11 sig / 3 TD ·
Markos: 65 sig / 0 TD
Livinha Souza
Randa Markos
38
Sig strikes landed
29
74
Sig strikes attempted
67
69
Total strikes landed
71
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
179s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Livinha Souza
"The Brazilian Gangsta"
14-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
L4
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
17 fights · 6-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—