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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Batgerel Danaa vs Brandon Davis

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Batgerel Danaa
Brandon Davis
65% 35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
13-5
Career record
Δ 16 pp
14-11
W2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Danaa: 22 sig / 0 TD · Davis: 7 sig / 0 TD
Batgerel Danaa
Brandon Davis
47
Sig strikes landed
40
106
Sig strikes attempted
95
55
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
70s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Batgerel Danaa

"Storm"
13-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
W UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
L UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
Blue corner
L2

Brandon Davis

"Killer B"
14-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
L UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
W UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
L UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman