Prelims1
Featherweight
Makwan Amirkhani vs Lerone Murphy
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Makwan Amirkhani
Lerone Murphy
32%
68%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
17-10
Career record
Δ 27 pp
18-1-1
L2
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Amirkhani: 4 sig / 5 TD ·
Murphy: 4 sig / 0 TD
Makwan Amirkhani
Lerone Murphy
21
Sig strikes landed
31
51
Sig strikes attempted
60
31
Total strikes landed
49
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
153s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
18-1-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
D
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—