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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Shamil Gamzatov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Shamil Gamzatov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
49% 51%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
15-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
23-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gamzatov: 35 sig / 0 TD · Oleksiejczuk: 32 sig / 0 TD
Shamil Gamzatov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
40
Sig strikes landed
42
89
Sig strikes attempted
96
40
Total strikes landed
42
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
53s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Shamil Gamzatov

15-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
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Blue corner
W1

Michal Oleksiejczuk

"Hussar"
23-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
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L UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
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L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
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W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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