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Main Heavyweight

Rizvan Kuniev vs Edivan Santos

DWCS 5.5 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rizvan Kuniev
Edivan Santos
60% 40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
30
Age
Δ 0y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Kuniev: 78 sig / 3 TD · Santos: 17 sig / 0 TD
Rizvan Kuniev
Edivan Santos
34
Sig strikes landed
34
67
Sig strikes attempted
71
51
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
139s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Rizvan Kuniev

0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Edivan Santos

"Pe De Sapo"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29