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Main Middleweight

Hashem Arkhagha vs AJ Dobson

DWCS 5.4 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Hashem Arkhagha
AJ Dobson
57% 43%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Arkhagha: 8 sig / 0 TD · Dobson: 39 sig / 1 TD
Hashem Arkhagha
AJ Dobson
34
Sig strikes landed
34
74
Sig strikes attempted
73
47
Total strikes landed
47
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Hashem Arkhagha

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

AJ Dobson

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30