Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Charles Rosa
Damon Jackson
36%
64%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
15-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-9-1
W1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosa: 34 sig / 2 TD ·
Jackson: 41 sig / 6 TD
Charles Rosa
Damon Jackson
31
Sig strikes landed
38
75
Sig strikes attempted
89
49
Total strikes landed
57
1.4
Takedowns landed
3.2
3.5
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
110s
Control time
297s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
15-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
L1
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
23-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 1-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
D
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—