Prelims1
Bantamweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Gaetano Pirrello
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Gaetano Pirrello
82%
18%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
36
Age
Δ 7y
29
29-8
Career record
Δ 16 pp
15-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva de Andrade: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Pirrello: 5 sig / 0 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Gaetano Pirrello
43
Sig strikes landed
33
103
Sig strikes attempted
85
60
Total strikes landed
39
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
Blue corner
L1
Gaetano Pirrello
"El Tigre"
15-8-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—