Back to UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Emily Whitmire vs Hannah Goldy

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Emily Whitmire
Hannah Goldy
44% 56%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
61"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
4-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-5
L2
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Whitmire: 5 sig / 2 TD · Goldy: 10 sig / 0 TD
Emily Whitmire
Hannah Goldy
44
Sig strikes landed
34
110
Sig strikes attempted
88
58
Total strikes landed
58
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
183s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
37%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Emily Whitmire

"Spitfire"
4-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
Blue corner
L2

Hannah Goldy

"24K"
6-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—