Prelims1
Middleweight
Dalcha Lungiambula vs Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Dalcha Lungiambula
Marc-Andre Barriault
51%
49%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
34
Age
Δ 3y
32
12-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-11
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lungiambula: 85 sig / 2 TD ·
Barriault: 118 sig / 0 TD
Dalcha Lungiambula
Marc-Andre Barriault
46
Sig strikes landed
42
100
Sig strikes attempted
78
65
Total strikes landed
67
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
246s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dalcha Lungiambula
"Champion"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
18-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—