Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Giga Chikadze
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
25-14
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-6
W2
Current streak
W6
25
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Barboza: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Chikadze: 60 sig / 0 TD
Edson Barboza
Giga Chikadze
55
Sig strikes landed
56
125
Sig strikes attempted
128
58
Total strikes landed
63
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
31s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
25-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
25 fights · 16-9
Last 5
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W6
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—