Back to DWCS 5.2
Main Welterweight

Logan Urban vs Josh Quinlan

DWCS 5.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Logan Urban
Josh Quinlan
63% 37%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
27
Age
Δ 1y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Urban: 2 sig / 0 TD · Quinlan: 13 sig / 0 TD
Logan Urban
Josh Quinlan
34
Sig strikes landed
34
75
Sig strikes attempted
73
46
Total strikes landed
47
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Logan Urban

"Hulk"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Josh Quinlan

"Bushido"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29