Prelims1
Middleweight
Nassourdine Imavov vs Ian Heinisch
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nassourdine Imavov
Ian Heinisch
76%
24%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
25
Age
Δ 8y
33
17-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Imavov: 39 sig / 1 TD ·
Heinisch: 24 sig / 0 TD
Nassourdine Imavov
Ian Heinisch
53
Sig strikes landed
43
101
Sig strikes attempted
95
77
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
119s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
17-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner
L1
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—