Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vinc Pichel
Austin Hubbard
53%
47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
39
Age
Δ 9y
30
15-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
18-10
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pichel: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Hubbard: 56 sig / 4 TD
Vinc Pichel
Austin Hubbard
40
Sig strikes landed
44
86
Sig strikes attempted
98
63
Total strikes landed
58
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
209s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
15-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
Blue corner
W1
Austin Hubbard
"Thud"
18-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—