Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yancy Medeiros
Damir Hadzovic
65%
35%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
15-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-9
L3
Current streak
L2
14
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Medeiros: 103 sig / 2 TD ·
Hadzovic: 121 sig / 2 TD
Yancy Medeiros
Damir Hadzovic
39
Sig strikes landed
42
94
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Yancy Medeiros
15-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
Blue corner
L2
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—