Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bruno Silva
Victor Rodriguez
67%
33%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
16-8-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
7-5
W1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Rodriguez: 0 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Silva
Victor Rodriguez
35
Sig strikes landed
32
62
Sig strikes attempted
68
45
Total strikes landed
40
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
170s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
16-8-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
Blue corner
L1
Victor Rodriguez
"Vicious"
7-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—