Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Edmen Shahbazyan
52%
48%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
33
Age
Δ 9y
24
24-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-6
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hermansson: 55 sig / 3 TD ·
Shahbazyan: 40 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Edmen Shahbazyan
37
Sig strikes landed
39
67
Sig strikes attempted
82
53
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
95s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24-11
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
L1
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—