Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Christos Giagos
Sean Soriano
64%
36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
31
Age
Δ 0y
32
21-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-9
W1
Current streak
L3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Giagos: 22 sig / 3 TD ·
Soriano: 33 sig / 0 TD
Christos Giagos
Sean Soriano
33
Sig strikes landed
31
75
Sig strikes attempted
60
61
Total strikes landed
48
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
221s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
21-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
L3
Sean Soriano
14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—