Prelims1
Middleweight
JunYong Park vs Tafon Nchukwi
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Tafon Nchukwi
68%
32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
30
Age
Δ 4y
27
20-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
7-4
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Park: 71 sig / 2 TD ·
Nchukwi: 58 sig / 1 TD
JunYong Park
Tafon Nchukwi
60
Sig strikes landed
41
137
Sig strikes attempted
147
86
Total strikes landed
70
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
201s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
JunYong Park
"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
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Blue corner
W1
Tafon Nchukwi
"Da Don"
7-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—