Main
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Smith vs Jimmy Crute
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Smith
Jimmy Crute
57%
43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
33
Age
Δ 8y
25
39-22
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-4-2
W1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Smith: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Crute: 18 sig / 3 TD
Anthony Smith
Jimmy Crute
32
Sig strikes landed
31
55
Sig strikes attempted
62
42
Total strikes landed
47
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
52s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
39-22
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
Blue corner
W2
Jimmy Crute
15-4-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—