🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Andrade
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Jessica Andrade
81%
19%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
33
Age
Δ 4y
30
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 20 pp
27-15
W6
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shevchenko: 32 sig / 7 TD ·
Andrade: 10 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Jessica Andrade
71
Sig strikes landed
44
134
Sig strikes attempted
99
116
Total strikes landed
82
3.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
244s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
18 fights · 12-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—