Prelims1
Heavyweight
Alexandr Romanov vs Juan Espino
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexandr Romanov
Juan Espino
83%
17%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
80"
30
Age
Δ 10y
40
19-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
12-2
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Romanov: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Espino: 12 sig / 4 TD
Alexandr Romanov
Juan Espino
20
Sig strikes landed
15
41
Sig strikes attempted
23
42
Total strikes landed
24
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
229s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alexandr Romanov
"King Kong"
19-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
Blue corner
W2
Juan Espino
"El Guapo"
12-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—