Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Song Kenan
Max Griffin
74%
26%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
23-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
21-13
W2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kenan: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Griffin: 17 sig / 0 TD
Song Kenan
Max Griffin
50
Sig strikes landed
52
118
Sig strikes attempted
109
60
Total strikes landed
64
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
54s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Song Kenan
"The Assassin"
23-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
21-13
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—