🏆 Title fight
Main
Heavyweight
Stipe Miocic vs Francis Ngannou
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Stipe Miocic
Francis Ngannou
61%
39%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
83"
39
Age
Δ 4y
35
21-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-3
W2
Current streak
W4
17
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Miocic: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Ngannou: 36 sig / 1 TD
Stipe Miocic
Francis Ngannou
53
Sig strikes landed
47
82
Sig strikes attempted
84
83
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.60
164s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Stipe Miocic
21-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
17 fights · 14-3
Last 5
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
W4
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—