Main
Heavyweight
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Ciryl Gane
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Ciryl Gane
47%
53%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
81"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
16-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
14-2
W1
Current streak
W4
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Rozenstruik: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Gane: 102 sig / 2 TD
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Ciryl Gane
33
Sig strikes landed
45
68
Sig strikes attempted
87
33
Total strikes landed
57
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
33s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
Blue corner
W4
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—