Back to UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Shana Dobson vs Casey O'Neill

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Shana Dobson
Casey O'Neill
22% 78%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
32
Age
Δ 8y
23
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dobson: 16 sig / 0 TD · O'Neill: 49 sig / 4 TD
Shana Dobson
Casey O'Neill
29
Sig strikes landed
40
74
Sig strikes attempted
90
54
Total strikes landed
77
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Shana Dobson

"Danger"
5-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
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L UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
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L UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
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Blue corner

Casey O'Neill

"King"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23