Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ode Osbourne
Jerome Rivera
55%
45%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
13-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
10-7
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Osbourne: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Rivera: 2 sig / 0 TD
Ode Osbourne
Jerome Rivera
35
Sig strikes landed
30
75
Sig strikes attempted
72
49
Total strikes landed
47
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
13-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
Blue corner
L2
Jerome Rivera
"Renegade"
10-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—