Main
Heavyweight
Alistair Overeem vs Alexander Volkov
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alistair Overeem
Alexander Volkov
44%
56%
Why
80"
Reach
80"
41
Age
Δ 8y
32
48-19
Career record
Δ 7 pp
41-11
W2
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Overeem: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Volkov: 54 sig / 0 TD
Alistair Overeem
Alexander Volkov
41
Sig strikes landed
61
72
Sig strikes attempted
95
49
Total strikes landed
68
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
131s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
48-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
19 fights · 12-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
W1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
41-11
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—