Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amir Albazi
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
81%
19%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
18-3
Career record
Δ 27 pp
14-10
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Albazi: 68 sig / 2 TD ·
Zhumagulov: 59 sig / 1 TD
Amir Albazi
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
40
Sig strikes landed
24
86
Sig strikes attempted
51
60
Total strikes landed
32
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
196s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
18-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
14-10
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—