Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Michael Chandler
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
L1
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hooker: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Chandler: 17 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Michael Chandler
64
Sig strikes landed
46
126
Sig strikes attempted
93
82
Total strikes landed
63
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
Blue corner
Michael Chandler
"Iron"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35