Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andrew Sanchez
Makhmud Muradov
27%
73%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
14-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
27-8
W1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Sanchez: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Muradov: 79 sig / 0 TD
Andrew Sanchez
Makhmud Muradov
52
Sig strikes landed
67
138
Sig strikes attempted
153
58
Total strikes landed
77
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
107s
Control time
38s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
14-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
Blue corner
W2
Makhmud Muradov
27-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—