Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Main Middleweight

Punahele Soriano vs Dusko Todorovic

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Punahele Soriano
Dusko Todorovic
59% 41%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
27
14-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Soriano: 30 sig / 0 TD · Todorovic: 22 sig / 0 TD
Punahele Soriano
Dusko Todorovic
38
Sig strikes landed
27
92
Sig strikes attempted
72
46
Total strikes landed
38
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
62s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Punahele Soriano

"Puna"
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
W1

Dusko Todorovic

"Thunder"
14-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—