Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Pettis
Alex Morono
59%
41%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
25-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
25-13
W1
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pettis: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Morono: 31 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Pettis
Alex Morono
53
Sig strikes landed
66
119
Sig strikes attempted
144
63
Total strikes landed
84
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
86s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
25-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
19 fights · 10-9
Last 5
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—