🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
66%
34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
24-10-2
W5
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 5
Figueiredo: 137 sig / 2 TD ·
Moreno: 132 sig / 4 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
47
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
103
59
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
Blue corner
W3
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
24-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—