Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Marvin Vettori
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Marvin Vettori
64%
36%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
25-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
20-10-1
W1
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Hermansson: 122 sig / 2 TD ·
Vettori: 164 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Marvin Vettori
48
Sig strikes landed
49
118
Sig strikes attempted
110
63
Total strikes landed
67
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
25-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
Blue corner
W3
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
20-10-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
D
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—