Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Norma Dumont
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Norma Dumont
34%
66%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
6-7
Career record
Δ 30 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Evans-Smith: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Dumont: 94 sig / 2 TD
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Norma Dumont
39
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
95
49
Total strikes landed
67
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
93s
Control time
242s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
6-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
Blue corner
L1
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
13-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—