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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Randa Markos vs Kanako Murata

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Kanako Murata
23% 77%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
L2
Current streak
15
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Markos: 29 sig / 0 TD · Murata: 29 sig / 4 TD
Randa Markos
Kanako Murata
38
Sig strikes landed
44
87
Sig strikes attempted
87
66
Total strikes landed
79
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
171s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Randa Markos

"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 15 fights · 6-8
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
L UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
Blue corner

Kanako Murata

0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27