Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Bevon Lewis
71%
29%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
79"
28
Age
Δ 1y
30
17-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
8-3
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Giles: 38 sig / 1 TD ·
Lewis: 26 sig / 0 TD
Trevin Giles
Bevon Lewis
46
Sig strikes landed
38
83
Sig strikes attempted
89
66
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
166s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Trevin Giles
17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
Blue corner
W1
Bevon Lewis
8-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—