Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
JP Buys
Jacob Silva
66%
34%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
25
Age
Δ 8y
33
9-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
6-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Buys: 22 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 0 sig / 0 TD
JP Buys
Jacob Silva
55
Sig strikes landed
35
115
Sig strikes attempted
82
66
Total strikes landed
58
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
107s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
JP Buys
"Young Savage"
9-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 1.7
—
Blue corner
L1
Jacob Silva
"Lil Animal"
6-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 4.4
—