🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Jennifer Maia
85%
15%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
22-10-1
W5
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Shevchenko: 62 sig / 5 TD ·
Maia: 36 sig / 1 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Jennifer Maia
78
Sig strikes landed
39
150
Sig strikes attempted
115
128
Total strikes landed
65
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
268s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jennifer Maia
22-10-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—