Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Youssef Zalal
Ilia Topuria
45%
55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
24
Age
Δ 0y
24
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zalal: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Topuria: 13 sig / 5 TD
Youssef Zalal
Ilia Topuria
45
Sig strikes landed
33
94
Sig strikes attempted
71
69
Total strikes landed
70
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
157s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
Ilia Topuria
"El Matador"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24