Main
Middleweight
Derek Brunson vs Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Derek Brunson
Edmen Shahbazyan
43%
57%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
37
Age
Δ 14y
23
24-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-5
W2
Current streak
W4
16
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Brunson: 88 sig / 4 TD ·
Shahbazyan: 35 sig / 0 TD
Derek Brunson
Edmen Shahbazyan
26
Sig strikes landed
28
43
Sig strikes attempted
57
42
Total strikes landed
39
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
91s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Derek Brunson
"The One"
24-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
W4
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
17-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—