Back to UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Main Featherweight

Grant Dawson vs Darrick Minner

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo ·Chartway Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Grant Dawson
Darrick Minner
81% 19%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Dawson: 15 sig / 2 TD · Minner: 4 sig / 1 TD
Grant Dawson
Darrick Minner
43
Sig strikes landed
29
94
Sig strikes attempted
72
75
Total strikes landed
44
3.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
6.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
356s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Grant Dawson

"KGD"
25-3-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
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Blue corner

Darrick Minner

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30